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The problem
Intervention: Exposure to tropical cyclones (natural hazard)
Who it was tested with: Populations in 14 cyclone-exposed countries, with specific analysis of Mozambique, Cambodia, and Timor-Leste.
Experience from people who deliver programmes: stories, case studies and lessons learned. Valuable for understanding how and why, and for spotting what to test next, but not a measure of effect.
"Using a distributed lag model, we estimate changes in child marriage rates up to three years following a cyclone" combined with comparison of marriage rates before and after cyclone exposure using nationally representative data across multiple countries and years. This quasi-experimental approach uses temporal variation in cyclone exposure and national survey data to estimate treatment effects without a randomized control group.
Study relies on national-level aggregated data which may obscure subnational or community-level impacts. The design captures correlation between cyclone exposure and marriage rates but cannot fully establish causal mechanisms. Small increases in some countries limit generalizability of findings.
Across countries and designs
1 study · 3 countries
