Peer-reviewed article
Violence risk assessment in forensic psychology office: from childhood to elderly
Baúto R, Carreiro A, Pereira M, Almeida I ·
Summary
Written by AI, not yet AICS's view · claude-haiku-4-5-20251001This paper describes the work of a Forensic Psychology Office in Portugal that conducts violence risk assessments for the criminal justice system across age groups from childhood to elderly. The study analysed 90 criminal cases assessed between 2016-2019, including domestic violence, child abuse, child sexual abuse, and elderly abuse cases. Most cases were rated as high or moderate risk. The paper presents this work as an example of good practice in supporting criminal justice decision-making.
Key points
- 66 of 90 cases involved domestic violence, primarily between ex-partners and ex-spouses
- 11 child abuse cases and 9 child sexual abuse cases were assessed
- 36.7% of cases presented high risk level, 25.6% moderate risk, 12.2% low risk
- Victim testimony was assessed as probably credible in 73.1% of cases
- Defendant testimony credibility was undetermined or probably not credible in most cases (39.5% and 34.2% respectively)
Limitations
This is a descriptive study of case characteristics from one office with no comparison group or outcome data; it cannot demonstrate whether risk assessments actually prevent violence or lead to better criminal justice outcomes. The paper does not evaluate the effectiveness of any intervention or management strategy.
Abstract
Abstract Introduction The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the work developed by the Forensic Psychology Office (GPF) at Forensic Sciences and Psychology Laboratory located at the Egas Moniz Higher Education School. GPF’s main goals are performing forensic psychological assessments, especially violence risk assessments, as well as scientific research. The main purpose of violence risk assessment is the prevention and development of management strategies to minimise risk and try to identify factors that may contribute to the violent behaviour [1] supporting the criminal justice system in allocating more appropriate measures (e.g. sentence, intervention) [2]. GPF presents itself as the main response to cases with higher complexity and it provides guidance about the necessary measures to protect victims [3,4]. Materials and methods This is a quantitative study and the sample (n = 90) is derived from violence risk assessments of GPF (2016–2019). We evaluate 52 victims: 39 women/girls and 13 man/boys, aged between 5 and 95 years old (M = 33.04, SD = 21.82); and 38 defendants: 30 men and 8 women, aged between 23 and 82 years old (M = 44.64, SD = 14.75). Data was collected from lawsuits, semi-structured interviews of the victims and defendants, collateral information and clinical and forensic assessment tools. All participants signed an informed consent term, which contained the purpose of the assessment, the limits of the confidentiality, and also information about the ethics and technicians impartiality. All ethical principles have been taken due to the sensitive nature of the data involved and the respective informed consent. Results In 90 criminal processes assessed, 66 cases was about reported situations of domestic violence. In these cases the relationship between victims and defendants was: 33 ex-partners; 12 ex-spouses; 10 ex-boyfriend/girlfriend; 6 married; 3 parents and 2 son/daughter. We assessed 11 child abuse cases (5 parents; 3 relatives; 2 son/daughter; 1 stepdaughter). We also evaluate 9 child sex abuse cases (2 son/daughter; 2 classmates; 2 stepdaughters; 2 relatives and 1 stranger). Finally, we evaluate 4 elderly abuse cases (2 relatives; 1 son/daughter and 1 parent). In the violence risk assessments, most of the cases presented high risk level (n = 33, 36.7%), followed by moderate risk (n = 23, 25.6%) and low risk (n = 11, 12.2). In defendant’s testimony credibility, 39.5% (n = 15) was undetermined, 34.2% probably not credible (n = 13), 7.9% (n = 3) probably credible and 2.6% (n = 1) did not collaborate in the assessment. In victim’s credibility of testimony, 73.1% (n = 38) was probably credible, 15.4% (n = 8) undetermined and 3.8% (n = 2) probably not credible. Discussion and conclusions Higher and moderate risk are the most common levels in the Office assessed cases. These results demonstrate evidences of violence risk assessment importance in criminal justice system and an good practices example between Forensic Psychology and Law. Currently, through psychological assessment protocols defined for this purpose, the GPF has contributed to supporting the criminal justice system in allocating measures that are more appropriate to protect victims.